| 137 | 5 | 14 |
| 下载次数 | 被引频次 | 阅读次数 |
基于试图找寻最近十几年来中国频繁出台面向中、西部及东北地区的倾斜性投资政策的原因,采用FC模型的投资空间计量分析,显示中国区域固定资产投资对经济增长的正向影响显著,存在显著空间集聚,即投资规模大的省份被投资规模大的省份所包围,投资规模小的省份被投资规模小的省份所包围,因而国家出台的面向中、西部地区及东北地区的倾斜政策对于减小区域差异是十分必要的。由此进一步提出了优化这类投资的建议:首先,中央应当持续加强对中、西部及东北地区的倾斜性投入;其次,应着力提高项目投资效率,加强投资过程科学化的监管;最后,应注重区域间协调互补,积极实施区域间产业转移。
Abstract:This paper tries to find out the reason of China's inclining policies frequently introduced to the Midwest from the spatial distribution perspective of investment. Spatial regression analysis based on the FC model shows that the influence of China's regional investment of fixed assets on the economic growth is positive significant,along with significant spatial cluster. The provinces with high investment scale are surrounded by high invested provinces,and vice versa. Therefore,these kinds of inclining policies applied to the middle,west and northeast regions of China are necessary to reduce the regional differences. The paper thereby puts forward some suggestions to optimize those kinds of investments: firstly,the central government should continuously strengthen such inclining investment; secondly,the government should focus on improving the investment efficiency; and lastly,more attention should be paid to regional coordination and regional industry transference.
[1]ROBERT M.SOLOW.A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1956(1):65-94.
[2]PAUL M.ROMER.Endogenous Technological Change[J].Journal of Political Economy,1990(5):71-102.
[3]ALICIA H.MUNNELL.Policy Watch:Infrastructure Investment and Economic Growth[J].Journal of Economic Perspectives,1992(4):189-198.
[4]PATRICK VANHOUDT.A Fallacy in Causality Research on Growth and Capital Accumulation[J].Economics Letters,1998(7):77-81.
[5]N.GREGORY MANKIW,David Romer,David N.Weil.A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth[J].The Quarterly Journal of Economics,1992(5):407-437.
[6]JB DE LONG,LH SUMMERS.Equipment investment and economic growth:how strong is the nexus?[M].Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,1992(2):157-212.
[7]JB DE LONG,LH SUMMERS.How strongly do developing economies benefit from equipment investment?[J].Journal of Monetary Economics.1993(3):395-415.
[8]M BLOMSTROM,RE LIPSEY,M ZEJAN.Is Fixed Investment the Key to Economic Growth?[J].Quarterly Journal of Economics,1996,(1):269-276.
[9]ELENA PODRECCA,GAETANO CARMECI.Fixed investment and economic growth:new results on causality[J].Applied Economics.2001(2):177-182.
[10]张筱峰,刘剑.内生增长理论及其对我国的启示[J].理论月刊,2004(4):63-67.
[11]武普照,王耀辉.公共投资的经济增长作用分析[J].山东社会科学,2007(4)69-73.
[12]范辉.公共投资经济增长与结构转型:理论阐释与经验分析[M].沈阳:东北财经大学出版社,2011:32-65
[13]杨淑涵.投资与经济增长研究的理论史考察[J].经济视角,2011(11):115-116.
[14]ANDY C.C.KWAN,YANGRU WU,JUNXI ZHANG.Fixed Investment and Economic Growth in China[J].Economics of Planning,1999(1):67-79.
[15]SYLVIE DMURGER.Infrastructure Development and Economic Growth:An Explanation for Regional Disparities in China?[J].Journal of Comparative Economics,2001(3),95-117.
[16]MARIA,JESUS,HERRERIAS.The Causal Relationship between Equipment Investment and Infrastructures on Economic Growth in China[J].Frontiers of Economics in China,2010(4):509-526.
[17]胡永平,张宗益.中国地区经济增长差距的成因分析[J].当代财经,2004(9):14-16.
[18]唐珏岚.区域固定资产投资失衡的人力资本因素分析[J].社会科学,2008(7):83-89,190-191.
[19]王辉.固定资产投资结构对地区经济增长差异影响的实证分析[J].中国商界,2010(7):103-104.
[20]夏杰长.中国地区经济发展差距的实证分析及财政政策选择[J].经济研究参考,2002(81):2-14.
[21]叶春玲.西部地区经济增长中固定资产投资效应实证分析[J].中国科技信息,2005(20B):104-107.
[22]任歌.我国固定资产投资对经济增长影响的区域差异性研究[J].财经论,2011(5):25-31.
[23]潘黎霞.对东部、西部地区固定资产投资与三个产业发展的实证分析[J].经济问题,2011(9):44-48.
[24]宋丽智.我国固定资产投资与经济增长关系再检验:1980—2010年[J].宏观经济研究,2011(11):17-21.
[25]苏文慧.我国固定资产投资与经济增长关系的实证研究[J].现代商业,2011(5):190-191.
[26]孙玲,陶士贵.中国区域金融差异对经济发展的影响——基于空间经济学FC模型的实证分析[J].财经理论与实践,2012(4):7-11.
[27]MARTIN PHILIPPE,ROGERS CAROL ANN.Industrial Location and Public Infrastructure[J].Journal of International Economics,1995(3-4):335-351.
1高记为“H”,低记为“L”,下同。
基本信息:
DOI:10.16112/j.cnki.53-1160/c.2014.06.009
中图分类号:F283
引用信息:
[1]姜亚鹏,黄秋璐,姜玉梅.中国倾斜性区域投资政策有必要么——基于空间集聚效应的分析[J].昆明理工大学学报(社会科学版),2014,14(06):56-63.DOI:10.16112/j.cnki.53-1160/c.2014.06.009.
基金信息:
国家社会科学基金项目“次贷危机与资产证劵化监管制度健全问题研究”(098BFX051);; 云南省贯彻落实十八大精神哲学社会科学规划项目“制度嵌入的中国企业跨国并购后整合与能力重构研究”(YB2012128);; 云南省政府与中国社会科学院合作项目“中国与东盟国家和谐关系研究”;; 昆明理工大学引进人才基金项目“跨国并购后整合研究”(14118432);; 昆明理工大学管理与经济学院热点(前沿)领域科研支撑计划项目“产业内贸易视角下的中国云贵高原医疗旅游资源保护性开发研究”(20140501);; 长江师范学院工商管理重点学科建设主持项目
2014-12-15
2014-12-15