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固定资产投资是经济增长的发动机,但投资过度又是经济增长率下降的主要动因。通过考察我国第6个经济周期以来即1977年以来经济波动的历史过程,对固定资产投资与经济增长进行计量分析,得出两者之间强正相关性的结论。归纳投资波动影响经济增长波动的传导机制后,就加强和改善对投资和经济增长的宏观调控进行探讨。
Abstract：Fixed-assets-investment is the engine of economic growth;however,excessive investment is a main driving force of economic growth rate declining.This essay introduces the process of China's economic fluctuations since 1977,our country's sixth Business Cycle,analyzes fixed-asset investment and economic growth,gives a conclusion that there's a strong positive correlation between them.Also,the paper summarizes the transmission mechanism of investment fluctuations impacting economic fluctuations and discusses the ways of strengthening and improving the investment and economic growth.
[1]陈乐一.我国经济周期阶段与持续繁荣(M).北京:人民出版社,2007.
(2)林兆木.经济周期与宏观调控(M).北京:中国计划出版社,2008.
(3)崔友平.我国经济周期波动原因探析(J).当代经济研究,2007,(7).
①固定资产投资总额和国内生产总值的数据资料来源为《新中国五十年》(国家统计局编),各相关年度《中国统计年鉴》、《中国统计摘要》、《中国经济年鉴》。
基本信息:
中图分类号:F283;F124;F224
引用信息:
[1]陈智容.第6个经济周期以来固定资产投资与经济增长关系探析[J].昆明理工大学学报(社会科学版),2009,9(06):67-71.
2009-06-15
2009-06-15